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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankFlaznorpWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)72% (348–134, n=482)60% (12–8, n=20)74% (427–151, n=578)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL-$3.7K$779K$58K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #155PM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #214
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)69% (95 of 137 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +30 pts n=217, ROI +26%
  • NBA +26 pts n=151, ROI −7%
  • NFL +28 pts n=59, ROI +16%
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won100% of 663 at avg 75¢, ROI +8%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 96% of 27)11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 66)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 124)37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 446)17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.