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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3296, n=7817) | 58% (18499–13469, n=31968) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $538K | $7.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #375 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 53543 at avg 67¢, ROI +22% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 91% of 2396) | 11% (won 80% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 15% (won 96% of 8279) | 35% (won 98% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 33% (won 98% of 17412) | 35% (won 100% of 201) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 48% (won 100% of 25456) | 20% (won 100% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bonereaper | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | Yes $79K |