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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankEgorkasxxFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)46% (560–667, n=1227)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M—$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2—PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)63% (17 of 27 open)no open consensus position64% (176 of 274 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)—29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)—16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)—17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)—38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankEgorkasxxFlaznorp
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.1KHawks $2.7K—Hawks $3.6K
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $41KPistons $204K—Pistons $1.4K
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $70K—Pelicans $36
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K——Yes $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $1.2K——76ers $46
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan $620——Eastern Michigan $333
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436——Bucks $249
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365——Under $227
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $194——Under $105
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $43——Hornets $5
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $49K——Thunder $223
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $31K—Jazz $4
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $8.7K—Celtics $215
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K——Arthur Fils $5.6K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K——Raptors $383
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $954—Pistons $1.3K
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66—Hawks $374
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248——Under $40