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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (94–79, n=173) | 54% (25–21, n=46) | 67% (661–328, n=989) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$250K | $737K | -$91K | -$30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #46 + pinned | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 208 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 1 at avg 46¢, ROI +29% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 20) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 35) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 100% of 21) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $231K | Ciryl Gane $325K | — | — |
| Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang same side · consensus Juncheng Shang | Juncheng Shang $22K | — | Juncheng Shang $22K | — |