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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | pagliacci4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (36–36, n=72) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 100% (8–0, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $779K | -$6.1K | $387 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 | was PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | pagliacci4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $94 | — | No $509 |