← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 87% (2315–349, n=2664) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.6M | $30K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (14 of 21 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 52% (33 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $1.1K | Hawks $2.7K | — | Wizards $10 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $2 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan $620 | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $41K | Pistons $204K | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $82 |