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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Burkilota1joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)62% (690–425, n=1115)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$145K$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #257PM monthly #2PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)27% (12 of 44 open)no open consensus position73% (81 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=133, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=23, ROI +1%
  • NBA +9 pts n=27, ROI +10%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Crypto −1 pts, n=181—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%20% of 558 at avg 16¢, ROI +7%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)88% (won 15% of 493)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)11% (won 63% of 64)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)0% (won 0% of 1)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)0%18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Burkilota1joseph00677ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $42—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $52—Yes $11K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $88—Yes $525
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $90—No $6
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14—Yes $1