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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Cbs710primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14227–15735, n=29962)
Consensus PnL$7.7M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10—PM monthly #51PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)no open consensus position68% (15 of 22 open)60% (88 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Cbs710primmRN1
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
——South Florida $213East Carolina $3.2K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
——Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $322
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $798
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $508Over $1.4K
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
——South Florida $262East Carolina $730
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $381SMU $282
Spread: SMU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
——Virginia Tech $226SMU $79
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $265——Raptors $39
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11——Raptors $163
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K——Grizzlies $110
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
——SMU $3.4KSMU $673
Spread: SMU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $5Virginia Tech $1.6K
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $20Over $1.3K
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $514——Under $20
Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
South Florida $24——South Florida $112
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
same side · consensus SMU
——SMU $3SMU $84