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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 66% (104–53, n=157) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $10K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #877 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 93% (14 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (56 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 109 at avg 63¢, ROI +12% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 11% (won 25% of 12) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 18% (won 50% of 20) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 25% (won 81% of 27) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 46% (won 94% of 50) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $35 | No $1.8K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | No $248 | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | Yes $709 | — | — |