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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekelndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)32% (401–863, n=1264)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$136K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #383PM monthly #106PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)76% (28 of 37 open)74% (82 of 111 open)58% (46 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −7 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)24% (won 18% of 136)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 76% of 34)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)15% (won 90% of 87)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)56% (won 99% of 321)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465DavidShekelndb1RN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128K——No $1.0K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $351—
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4Yes $16—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K——No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K——No $19K
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $192No $173—
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $16No $17—