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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FatsLivesMatterHomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)50% (9–9, n=18)55% (201–167, n=368)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL-$493K-$1.5K$227K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #918PM monthly #8PM monthly #32
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)69% (49 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%85% of 13 at avg 57¢, ROI +21%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)15% (won 50% of 2)32% (won 100% of 31)25% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)77% (won 90% of 10)57% (won 100% of 55)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)29% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FatsLivesMatterHomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K—Dartmouth Big Green $301—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $1.9K—