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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMartyMcFoxndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (4389–2618, n=7007)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$148K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10was PM monthly #992PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)72% (122 of 169 open)no open consensus position72% (52 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +22 pts n=3864, ROI +16%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%87% of 3864 at avg 65¢, ROI +16%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 52% of 448)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)16% (won 40% of 255)14% (won 76% of 543)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 89% of 763)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)39% (won 94% of 637)55% (won 96% of 2110)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMartyMcFoxndb1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $2.9KAlexandra Eala $36K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $238——
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.0KUnder $793——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $911Mai Hontama $8.3K——
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.8KYes $40——
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Rinky Hijikata $364Rinky Hijikata $2.0K——