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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Winning2...
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)32% (878–1902, n=2780)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$5.6M-$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #133PM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #691
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)63% (170 of 270 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Winning2...
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $3.1KBulls $135——
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $46Hornets $2.3K——
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $486Eastern Michigan $343——
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $104KThunder $2.3K——
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.9KRaptors $394——
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $4Pacers $4.2K——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $2.3KPacers $153——
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $1.3K——