Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messi
Record (consensus markets)55% (4842–4042, n=8884)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)56% (1147–901, n=2048)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$1.9M$75K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14was PM monthly #787
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)71% (89 of 125 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1599 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 403)29% (won 12% of 457)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 39% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 234)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)40% (won 94% of 553)46% (won 97% of 741)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpl..messi
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $9.1KKeisuke Saitoh $1.6K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.1KYes $2.7K—
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $369USC Trojans $4.1K—