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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | l..messi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4948–4167, n=9115) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 56% (1153–905, n=2058) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $1.4M | $75K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | was PM monthly #787 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 66% (80 of 121 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 63% of 1599 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 29% (won 12% of 457) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 10% (won 39% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 15% (won 75% of 234) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 97% of 741) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | l..messi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Cosme Rolland De Ravel $7.9K | — | Cosme Rolland De Ravel $6.4K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.4K | — | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |