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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmFakeMadrid
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)59% (909–626, n=1535)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$3.6M$1.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #46Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)73% (185 of 254 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +8 pts n=260, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=872, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—MLB −1 pts, n=39
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)9% (won 16% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)28% (won 48% of 417)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)35% (won 62% of 519)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)28% (won 85% of 408)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmFakeMadrid
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $2Ben Shelton $6.0K——
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $3.6KRider Broncs $19——