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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorprobustmstwhosay
Record (consensus markets)56% (99–79, n=178)75% (1115–379, n=1494)42% (13–18, n=31)76% (32–10, n=42)
Consensus PnL-$199K$140K$208K$9.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #23PM monthly #28PM monthly #555
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)72% (146 of 203 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=23, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———Esports −3 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%52% of 234 at avg 50¢, ROI −3%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%72% of 32 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 8% of 73)0%3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 20)25% (won 46% of 59)85% (won 100% of 11)19% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 35)15% (won 68% of 34)15% (won 100% of 2)28% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 21)29% (won 97% of 68)0%50% (won 88% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorprobustmstwhosay
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.5K—Under $6
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $75—Yes $400
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.4KTeletubisie $615——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $95Vikings $6——