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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (480–244, n=724) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | $227K | -$148K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #45 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 72% (51 of 71 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 106) | 75% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | Dartmouth Big Green $304 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | Vikings $1.8K | — | — |