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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MigRodrndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)39% (14–22, n=36)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$115K$4.2M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #194PM monthly #149PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)40% (2 of 5 open)74% (34 of 46 open)67% (79 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 14 at avg 35¢, ROI +64%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)36% (won 100% of 5)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)57% (won 100% of 8)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)0%24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)7% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MigRodrndb1UpTheBlues
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $160KNo $37K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KIgnacio Buse $2.7K——