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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 63% (119–70, n=189) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $14.9M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #929 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 180 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 59% (won 54% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini | Tatjana Maria $12K | Luisina Giovannini $379 | — |