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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465S-WorksTheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)75% (2542–853, n=3395)63% (115–69, n=184)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$3.7M-$46K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #73PM monthly #795
Sides with the consensus50% (19 of 38 open)50% (1 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Crypto −1 pts, n=46MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)6% (won 14% of 145)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 48% of 367)8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 60% of 509)59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)55% (won 96% of 1235)31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.