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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $7.7M | $3.7M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #798 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (15 of 30 open) | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | 76ers $2.5K | Bulls $7.0K | — | 76ers $1.4K |
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Texans $233K | Chargers $294K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Texans $23K | Chargers $100K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Raiders $26K | — | — | 49ers $2.1K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $19K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $78K | — | Bilibili Gaming $90K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $18 | No $29K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.7K | Over $14K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |