← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | afraz | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 62% (249–155, n=404) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $4.0K | $7.9M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #660 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (15 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Tennis −9 pts, n=102 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 377 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 23% of 44) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 30% (won 41% of 113) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 38% (won 63% of 144) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 74% of 76) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | afraz | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | — | No $53K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | No $2.3K | — |