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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465afrazndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)62% (249–155, n=404)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$4.0K$4.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #661PM monthly #95PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position72% (52 of 72 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Tennis −9 pts, n=102NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 377 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 23% of 44)13% (won 15% of 186)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)30% (won 41% of 113)19% (won 39% of 267)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)38% (won 63% of 144)23% (won 58% of 326)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 74% of 76)44% (won 94% of 619)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465afrazndb1UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $15K