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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3318, n=7854) | 27% (427–1166, n=1593) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $38K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 87% (20 of 23 open) | 70% (52 of 74 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −1 pts, n=186 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 46% of 566 at avg 48¢, ROI +12% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 47% (won 2% of 268) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 5% (won 43% of 28) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 7% (won 59% of 37) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 41% (won 96% of 233) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | akroll | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $337 | — | — | Warriors $380 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.1K | — | — | Warriors $93 |