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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | asuka7 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (64–71, n=135) | 53% (8–7, n=15) | 75% (744–249, n=993) | 66% (480–245, n=725) |
| Consensus PnL | -$420K | -$12K | $74K | -$157K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #47 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (95 of 135 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +24% | 52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 27% (won 45% of 56) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 68% of 28) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 29% (won 97% of 61) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | asuka7 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | Ugo Humbert $3.5K | — | Ugo Humbert $2.5K | Ugo Humbert $2.5K |
| Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Polona Hercog | — | — | Polona Hercog $1.1K | Polona Hercog $1.7K |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $415 | — |
| Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston same side · consensus Hugo Gaston | — | — | Hugo Gaston $1.1K | Hugo Gaston $2 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $6 | — |