Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1RN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)31% (4–9, n=13)66% (479–242, n=721)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL-$304K-$35K-$140K$307K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #127PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #19 + pinned
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 52¢, ROI +25%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 12)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)14% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)86% (won 83% of 6)30% (won 100% of 62)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)0%51% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1RN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53——MOUZ $155K
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $139K——MOUZ $290K
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $20K—Jurij Rodionov $9.0K—