← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3322, n=7858) | no settled market | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 36% (5228–9136, n=14364) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | $5.3M | -$140K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #304 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 78% (82 of 105 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1555 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 37% of 5848 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 59% (won 1% of 3428) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 42% of 132) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 55% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 35% (won 96% of 2066) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | No $123 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | — | — | No $554 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $436 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | — | No $263 |