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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (59–66, n=125) | 43% (32–43, n=75) | 63% (19–11, n=30) | 66% (476–241, n=717) |
| Consensus PnL | -$292K | $8.2K | $22K | -$145K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #552 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 33 at avg 48¢, ROI +18% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 39% (won 69% of 13) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 52% (won 71% of 17) | 55% (won 100% of 11) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | betdge | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt | Alafia Ayeni $8 | — | — | Alex Bolt $260 |