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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465cm2897RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)51% (1421–1365, n=2786)47% (14227–15735, n=29962)50% (20607–20392, n=40999)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$55K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #375PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)57% (8 of 14 open)58% (93 of 160 open)71% (32 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%50% of 2043 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)23% (won 7% of 480)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)26% (won 41% of 532)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)27% (won 61% of 561)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)23% (won 90% of 470)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465cm2897RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $233East Carolina $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $733East Carolina $1.6K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: South Florida (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $323East Carolina $818—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $44Under $798—
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $235SMU $271—
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Ball State Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Ball State Cardinals
—Ball State Cardinals $246Indiana State Sycamores $250—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $265—Raptors $38—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11—Raptors $182—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K—Grizzlies $100—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
Missouri Tigers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
same side · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—Saint Louis Billikens $912Saint Louis Billikens $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
—SMU $156SMU $698—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $514—Under $11—
Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
South Florida $24—South Florida $112—