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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465efntrickndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)48% (311–332, n=643)63% (1100–635, n=1735)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$12K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #854PM monthly #110PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)88% (7 of 8 open)71% (67 of 94 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 208 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)1% (won 50% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)8% (won 100% of 17)18% (won 40% of 283)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)22% (won 100% of 45)23% (won 58% of 348)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)69% (won 100% of 144)46% (won 94% of 710)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465efntrickndb1S-Works
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $10KTomas Etcheverry $41——
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $64KClement Tabur $104——
Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs
same side · consensus Moise Kouame
Moise Kouame $18KMoise Kouame $3——