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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$3.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #127PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)78% (21 of 27 open)75% (173 of 230 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143KTaylor Fritz $3.4KCarlos Alcaraz $4.3K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $20—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—No $1.8K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $943—
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.8KOver $23—
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $565Over $3.0K—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.4K76ers $188—
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Luca Van Assche $145KLuca Van Assche $35K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $830—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $6.2KAidan Mayo $3.8K—
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9KCeltics $222—
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $375Under $1.2K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $512Wizards $172—
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
—tao toma $87tao toma $1—