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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3321, n=7860)35% (3647–6649, n=10296)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.0M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #127PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)88% (7 of 8 open)no open consensus position45% (10 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Zeynep Sonmez $835Claire Liu $12K—Zeynep Sonmez $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $5.6K—Yosuke Watanuki $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360