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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | lightningbolts | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | no settled market | 67% (334–163, n=497) |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | $4.6K | — | -$108K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #38 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | — | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | — | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | — | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | — | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | — | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | lightningbolts | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng same side · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $5.1K | — | — | Giles Hussey $11 |