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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | no settled market | 51% (120–116, n=236) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | — | — | $9.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #160 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #278 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (7 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 51% (56 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 82 at avg 52¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 11% (won 100% of 10) | 10% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 52% (won 100% of 46) | 54% (won 100% of 44) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 30% (won 100% of 27) | 16% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 7% (won 100% of 6) | 21% (won 100% of 17) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $53K | — | — | Jazz $1.1K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $18K | — | — | Under $46 |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $9.4K | — | — | Jazz $28 |
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $8.3K | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $22 |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | — | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $2.7K |
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.7K | — | — | Under $544 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | — | Under $24 |