Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmpvc975
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)99% (14126–167, n=14293)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$4.2M$3.6M$200K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #139PM monthly #52was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus71% (15 of 21 open)73% (33 of 45 open)77% (17 of 22 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139—Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmpvc975
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan $620—Eastern Michigan $2.0K—