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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)49% (37–38, n=75)62% (13–8, n=21)69% (307–141, n=448)100% (6–0, n=6)
Consensus PnL-$381K-$16K-$40K-$75K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #74PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #248
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Esports −1 pts, n=230
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%42% of 238 at avg 43¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 4% of 102)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)18% (won 33% of 43)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)14% (won 71% of 34)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)0%33% (won 100% of 80)25% (won 98% of 59)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1vtcchampion52
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic
same side · consensus Miomir Kecmanovic
Arthur Rinderknech $112—Arthur Rinderknech $28K—