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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x332a020cfAB56b019B470cA47B63fDA745D6c9a2-1724751213873BreakTheBankgmpm2googleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (17–11, n=28)50% (2–2, n=4)43% (3–4, n=7)
Consensus PnL—$786K-$6.1K$353K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #71PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——NBA −2 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 32% of 19)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)29% (won 48% of 97)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)45% (won 55% of 150)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)21% (won 80% of 71)6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x332a020cfAB56b019B470cA47B63fDA745D6c9a2-1724751213873BreakTheBankgmpm2googleplay
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.5K—Trail Blazers $46K