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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (150–63, n=213) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$54K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #823 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=118 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 218 at avg 84¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 24% of 25) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 22% of 9) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 84% (won 95% of 183) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $136 | — | — | Yes $68 |