Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)89% (196–23, n=219)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$232K$13.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)63% (12 of 19 open)85% (55 of 65 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 244 at avg 57¢, ROI +40%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 93% of 59)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 98% of 121)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 58)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-1762724768941RN1BreakTheBank00gringo00
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $65Commanders $82K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $125Commanders $32K—