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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3671–2839, n=6510) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $8.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −2 pts, n=32 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 5769 at avg 56¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 19% of 519) | 10% (won 82% of 60) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 1945) | 36% (won 98% of 212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 53% of 2104) | 35% (won 100% of 205) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 95% of 1201) | 20% (won 100% of 116) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | No $37K |