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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319classifiedmonkeymashingkeyboardpetanimal
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)55% (6–5, n=11)no settled market
Consensus PnL$0$3.1K$19K$12
Tracked asPM monthly #27PM monthly #337PM monthly #11was PM monthly #283
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)57% (8 of 14 open)62% (8 of 13 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=89, ROI +49%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +46%
  • MLB +49 pts n=36, ROI +50%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −28 pts, n=12Elections −2 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 240 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢12% (won 16% of 100)46% (won 4% of 152)3% (won 100% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 43% of 217)4% (won 47% of 15)31% (won 100% of 74)—
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 56% of 237)7% (won 78% of 23)66% (won 100% of 158)—
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 94% of 311)43% (won 98% of 144)1% (won 100% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319classifiedmonkeymashingkeyboardpetanimal
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $122—Yes $2.0K