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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | fantasy7788 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | 67% (354–171, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $245K | — | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (11 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 59% (37 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 0% | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 0% | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | fantasy7788 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Western Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $2.5K | — | — | Akron $740 |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $2.2K | — | — | Akron $685 |