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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | primm | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 68% (330–158, n=488) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | -$16K | -$104K | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #74 | PM monthly #38 + pinned | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (11 of 11 open) | 17% (1 of 6 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | primm | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $253 | Akron $113 | — | — |