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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfesh | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (14–15, n=29) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (203–170, n=373) |
| Consensus PnL | -$7.2K | $822K | $430K | $228K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #434 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (104 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 15 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 88% of 8) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 5) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfesh | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Raptors $16K | — | Celtics $34K |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $10K | — | Pacers $9.3K |