← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (7–4, n=11) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$12K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 10 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 0% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $8.0K | Yes $64K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | Yes $32K | — | — |