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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (7–4, n=11) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 51% (196–192, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | -$12K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 10 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 0% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x498d2... | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $8.7K | Yes $69K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | Yes $28K | — | — |