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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793endb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (237–236, n=473)66% (901–474, n=1375)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$115K$4.5M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #100PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)73% (110 of 151 open)no open consensus position50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −8 pts, n=32NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 393 at avg 48¢, ROI +9%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 18% of 145)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 50% of 56)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 90% of 51)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 94% of 141)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.