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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (317–471, n=788)56% (101–79, n=180)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$17K$3.5M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #541was PM monthly #373PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)no open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=65—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won36% of 817 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 7% of 448)7% (won 75% of 8)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 106)26% (won 93% of 29)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 63% of 121)42% (won 96% of 47)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 97% of 142)24% (won 96% of 27)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $304—Yes $5
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $46—No $5