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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (376–550, n=926)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$21K—$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #647—PM monthly #2PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus53% (48 of 91 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (106 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +11 pts n=150, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=59, ROI +5%
  • NHL +2 pts n=84, ROI +3%
not computed yet
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=64——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 7% of 439)—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 101)—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 63% of 120)—65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 97% of 135)—18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53eCc53E70x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K——No $335K
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $522——Yes $365
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9——No $675
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $434——No $4
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $227——Yes $186
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $325——No $45
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $336——No $5
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $81——Yes $250
Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $120——No $47
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $117——Yes $31
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $138——No $3
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $54——Yes $41
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $25——Yes $28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $131——Yes $11K
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $7.2K
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $21
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $3
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $399——Yes $343
Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
No $10——No $568
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $160——Yes $383
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $69——Yes $357
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $413——No $5
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $227——Yes $143
Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
No $300——No $29
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $269——Yes $29
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $123——Yes $174
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus Yes
No $130——No $142
Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $224——Yes $10
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
Yes $222——Yes $5
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $104——Yes $34
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
same side · consensus No
No $30——No $75
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $51——Yes $50
Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70——Yes $20
Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?
same side · consensus U 7.5
O 7.5 $21——O 7.5 $23